Some recent events – and what they mean for YOU

I recently had a minor adventure to get a cell phone and get it working.

Yesterday I went to an AT&T store and got a cell phone. It worked fine in the store and when I got home I was quick to try out all the features.

Well, the problem was, when I tried to make a call, it told me I could make “emergency calls only”. I had done nothing to wreck it and nothing I tried fixed it. So today it was back to the AT&T store (I went to one fairly near where I live but got referred to the one I originally went to), got a part changed, and now my phone is making calls.

And the end result is… my web site is now up.

The URL is, for those who want to look at it. Yes, I did end up picking FreeHostia over other options including ZendURL.

The hosting poll is over; the project poll is ongoing, though it probably won’t be for long. As you can see, there’s not much on the site right now. Tomorrow, or perhaps later tonight, I’ll try to get something more substantial on there. A while back, in the late 90’s, I fiddled around a lot with HTML and I think I got fairly good at it, but you know what they say about how fast technology knowledge obsoletes, and now I’m completely lost with this newfangled CSS stuff. (I could create web pages with Microsoft Word, but I’d like to get some hot CSS action in to give all or most of my web pages a consistent look. Word would become nearly irrelevant at that point because it probably wouldn’t be able to figure out that I’m going to be shoehorning some prefab CSS in there.)

Also, I still need your input to help build The Best Web Site On The Internet. The generic topic poll will be going up soon. I may decide to stick with Bravenet for it, or I may decide to go someplace else. The 100 Greatest Movies project will probably be one of the first things put up, but I’m not sure if it’s going to be the first. Also, expect some various football-related things to go up over the course of the next month, mostly focused on Da Blog.

As always, if you have suggestions, vote or reply to this post!

A surprising traffic driver to Da Blog… and what it portends for both Da Blog and a web site

Looking over my traffic logs, I’ve noticed something interesting. A significant portion of traffic to Da Blog, even right now, more than two months after the fact, comes from my Upfront series popping up on web searches.

I have talked about several topics on Da Blog, but I haven’t talked much about the world of TV. It’s evident that if I did, I would be getting a lot more eyeballs. Since signing up with SiteMeter, I’ve never gotten more than four in a day.

On the other hand, I could approach it another way. What can I offer that might come up on a web search, or that people might be looking for? What’s something I have that people might want to read?

Let’s step through the “what should be featured” poll and point out items of interest:

  • Sports Watcher: Eh. I very recently got someone voting for Sports Watcher, so someone likes it, but it’s really just ego-stroking for me. When I was doing it, I don’t think there was a significant group of people coming in and adding their hits just to see it.
  • Rank America’s pro sports leagues: Not very likely to come up on a Google search, but you never know.
  • New method of determining champions: Also not very likely to come up on a Google search, though it’s football I have in mind at the moment, so you never know.
  • Simulated tournament/game: Not bloody likely. Even if I insert myself into a common nerd debate those people are usually already confined to their own message boards.
  • New sports: No.
  • Short poems or stories: No.
  • TV Ratings Reports: Hell yes. I know people are going to be clamoring for these and for the analysis I would bring to them.

So, what else do a large amount of people do? They look for music. They might go to movie sites but I doubt it. They probably are fans of some sport.

Um… actually I don’t know a lot of people and I probably wouldn’t know what’s popular on the Internet if I did.

Here are the top searches on Technorati right now (and no, this is not intentionally pimping to appear on as many hot Technorati searches as possible, but if you came in that way, welcome! Have a look at the two tags attatched to this post and see if you have an opinion on the polls):

  • Noelia. Some pop star with a sex tape, evidently. (rolls eyes)
  • Ron Paul. Well, there’s something. I could take a look at politics. Of course there are a gazillion political blogs out there. But way back at the beginning of the year I was considering doing a ranking of each candidate’s chances. Not sure if I would want or need to do anything like that now. If I had the tools I could have my own little election party on election day. Or I could take a historical look, like ranking the presidents that have come before, but that’s been done a gazillion times as well.
  • Youtube. Who the hell is searching for mention of YouTube on a blog? Well, the leading explanation is that people are looking for softcore porn. (rolls eyes)
  • Harry Potter. In the news for obvious reasons, of course.
  • Twango. Evidently some media sharing site in the news. Or something.
  • iPhone. No, I don’t have one. To hear the news people that must make me the only person on Earth without one. So, stuff in the news, gadgets in the news… didn’t I already decide to focus Da Blog on that sort of thing?
  • Netflix. You know what, I’m just going to scan the rest of the list for something interesting. And… nothing. Well, let’s move on to the Yahoo buzz index:
  • Skip the celebs and Harry Potter…
  • WWE. (jerks around, pulls on collar)
  • Hi-5. Myspace ripoff. I really must be the only person without a Myspace account. There’s also a kids’ show by that name, but I don’t think it has much of an American presence.
  • Transformers. A hot movie. Yawn. There are some things I can do with movies, but to stay completely current? Maybe I should give my Oscar picks.
  • LimeWire. File sharing network. Yawn. Do people not know where these sites are, or at least how to bookmark?
  • Let’s see what the most popular non-search engine or social network or file sharing or anything like that sites are on Alexa:
  • Skip MSN (inherited popularity from IE), YouTube, Myspace, Baidu (a Chinese search engine), and Orkut (Google’s Myspace ripoff).
  • Wikipedia. I just came upon the fallacy of this approach. Wikipedia is about everything, so of course it’s going to get a significant amount of traffic.
  • The aforementioned Hi-5 is among the sites thrown out next.
  • eBay. Wow, that’s still relevant?
  • Too generic, again.
  • Finally we come upon imdB. Well, if it’s that popular, maybe I should stay the course on my 100 Greatest Movies project.
  • US only, the list goes Yahoo, Google, Myspace, MSN, YouTube, eBay, Facebook, IE’s built in search engine, Craigslist, Wikipedia, Amazon, AOL, Blogger, (which houses all sorts of Disney-related sites like ESPN, which accounts for more than half of its traffic), and CNN. And I’m back to my comments on the news. imdB is just two spots after that.

Obviously this didn’t work well. But if you have your own opinions, feel free to leave a comment.

Meanwhile you may be wondering when a web site will come. You may find it hard to believe, but I came very close to signing up for it tonight, last night as you read this. I got hung up because, as strange as you may find it to believe, I don’t currently have a phone. But I expect to get one soon, so the web site may be going up as soon as this weekend.

The decision is creeping closer…

“I will probably “test the waters” with ZendURL for a period and get out if I don’t like it. That’s if ZendURL doesn’t get a spate of negative reviews in the meantime.” -Me, a week ago.

Well, guess what happened. ZendURL got a spate of negative reviews. It’s like it came out of its overhaul worse than it came in.

So expect a web site to be established with FreeHostia in the near future. Unless big changes occur on the poll that I can’t ignore.

What makes a movie great?

I recently watched On the Waterfront, to knock off a film from the list of films I haven’t seen, and help put me in the mood for the upcoming 100 Greatest Films list. When writing the entry for the film afterwards, I realized something. Having to look up the plot wasn’t my sole deficiency. In On the Waterfront‘s case, I could decipher the plot to some extent, but I didn’t really know what it was that made it so great. I realized that I was too little of a film buff to know what made certain films great, how they served as an influence on the medium.

Then I realized something else. Something worse. Some films did not influence people to come after them. Some films aren’t even useful to study for their art. They’re just considered great, entertaining films. Professional film critics would be hard-pressed to say what exactly makes them great; I would be woefully underqualified. And I certainly don’t know how to analyze the art of a film, even if I have watched it.

The AFI often brings in luminaries in film to comment on the films on its lists, and often all they say is how much they like the film, or particular parts of it. Several lists are accompanied by brief blurbs on the films, but they don’t do them justice. I want to take some time to explain the films and why they are so often considered among the greatest of all time, but I don’t know one lick about them. I’ll probably turn over many films’ entries to others (remember, I’m taking applications!) But that doesn’t make me look very good.

So, I’m turning this over to you. What is it that makes a film, and specificially the films so often mentioned among the greatest of all time, great? What should a layman like me who knows nothing except the films he’s seen recently know about the films he’s probably only heard of through the various greatest films’ lists but should know in greater detail? Feel free to leave a comment to this post.

Soon To Come: The definitive Greatest Movies List!

When you think of lists of “100 Greatest X”, you think of one “x” above all else: movies.

There’s no way I can make my own list of greatest movies. There are so damn many lists out there already, created far more scientifically, that I’m only making more noise. (In the future I hope to make lists in fields where there has been limited input.) There’s also the small problem that I have seen very few movies.

These lists cause plenty of debate over whether this film should be rated higher than that film. With so many lists, there’s a lot of noise out there. But what if all the lists became one list?

That’s what I aim to do with my entry into the Greatest Movies pantheon, which will be one of the first features on the website I’ve been talking about for months now. There will be three lists: an Overall list of the 100 Greatest Movies, a 50 Greatest Movies list as chosen by critics, and a 50 Greatest Movies list as chosen by the people.

Why these distinctions? Some of the greatest movies lists, like AFI’s 100 Years… 100 Movies, are voted on by a panel of experts. Others, like imdB’s Greatest Films list, are selected by a much larger audience of the general public. The Overall list will be a cobbling together of both types, while the Critical and People’s lists will focus on just one type of list. The two methods produce very different results, and there are pluses and minuses for both. People can have their debates on which approach is superior, but this way they can have their own list that isn’t contaminated by the other group, or the Overall list that treats both equally.

I will base my list on the following lists, and you are welcome to submit other widely-published and in any way authoritative lists:

  • AFI’s 100 Years… 100 Movies. The one that started it all; the “10th Anniversary” 2007 version will be used.
  • TV Guide’s 50 Greatest Movies on TV and Video (1998). Tim Dirks’ website indicates this was compiled by the editors, but Wikipedia says it was a poll. In any case, the main criteria is “how fun is it to watch?” which leans more towards the people’s list side.
  • Sight and Sound’s Decennial 2002 list. Probably one of the most authoritative in the industry. Heavy emphasis on foreign films.
  • Empire Magazine’s 100 Greatest Movies (2003). There’s also a 2007 version not on Dirks’ website but it was conducted by Empire Australia, which is a bit confusing and will result in two Empire lists.
  • FilmFour’s 100 Greatest Films (2001?) Tim Dirks indicates this was an experts’ list, but Wikipedia has a BBC article to confirm that it was a people’s list. Certainly the composition is more consistent with a people’s list.
  • Entertainment Weekly’s 100 Greatest Movies (1999) may be second only to AFI in prominence with the general public. Non-American films allowed, and there are some interesting choices.
  • LA Daily News poll (1997). Supposedly a people’s version of the AFI list based on the same list of nominees. Only top 30 will be considered because it is littered with ties.
  • Empire’s Ultimate Movie Poll (2001). As though the Empire lists weren’t confusing enough, Empire also has a top-50 list that was part of a larger effort to rank like crazy!
  • Mr. Showbiz Critics’ and Readers’ lists. This ancient list, according to Dirks, was made “a year and a half” before the AFI list on a now-defunct site.
  • Village Voice 100 Best Films of the 20th Century. A critics’ poll assembled at the turn of the century. Very weird and foreign-heavy.
  • Time Out Film Guide Centenary List (1995) and Readers’ List (1998). Limited reliability, and both lists are so riddled with ties I had to cut them short at 40 and 60 respectively. Less than that will go into the making of this list.
  • imdB’s Top 100. I’m limiting imdB’s role to the Top 100 because A, it would be just too much work to do the whole Top 250, and B, depending on the method used (see below), it might not matter. This is often biased towards recent releases.
  • I also hope to consider Total Film’s Top 100 Films of All Time (2005) – and the 2006 update which was a people’s list. Neither is on Tim Dirks’ web site due to being very recent. Also, both lists take a turn towards the weird and disregard critical consensus in favor of the recently popular.

How will I make the decision on how to rank the movies? That’s a daunting question. I will aim to choose from among these voting systems, which you can vote on in the sidebar in a brand new poll:

  • Repeated plurality voting. The system we’re all used to in the states. I choose the movie that gets the most votes among those movies on the top line. Then I remove those votes and move up the other movies on those lists. Repeat. This system is vulnerable to ties. I will run runoffs in those cases unless every single list nominates a different film. Which is extremely possible.
  • Instant runoff voting. In some ways the opposite of repeated plurality. If one film has the majority, that film wins. Otherwise eliminate the films with the least amount of votes and bring up the other movies until a majority exists. Restore the votes and start over. This has the problem that a film’s performance can be singularly tied to when it gets a first-line vote. It’s also very vulnerable to ties, and there are several schemes to resolve the tie:
    • Refer to the previous round of eliminations and eliminate the film with the fewest votes in that round. If you reach the point where no one had been eliminated, go back to the determination of the previous rank.
    • Apply the Bucklin method below, but to eliminate the film with the fewest votes.
    • Determine whether, if one film is eliminated, any other film involved in the tie would not also be eliminated immediately or at least remain at risk of elimination. Eliminate the option that would preserve the other(s). This rarely works as elegantly as described, at least for ties of three or more, and often becomes complicated.
  • Repeated supplementary vote. Similar to repeated plurality, but I hold a runoff between the two films on the top line with the most votes. Technically a Sri Lankan supplementary vote. Could easily result in a top-line tie.
  • Coombs’ method. If one film has the majority, that film wins. Otherwise eliminate the film with the most last place votes until one film has the majority. Restore the votes and start over. In both this and instant runoff, I will eliminate all films right off the bat that a) do not appear on the top line on any list, and b) do not have at least one list in which they defeat a film on the top line on another list, for simplicity. This particular method does not work well because some lists are not 100 films deep.
  • Borda count. Most common method for creating ranked lists. #1 = 100 points, #2 = 99, and so on. This method is not iterative and can be commenced at once. It’s also the most likely choice unless I get talked into one of the others.
  • Bucklin method. If one film has the majority, that film wins. Otherwise add in the votes on the second line. Repeat until one film has amassed enough votes that it would have a majority of the top-line votes. If more than one film passes this threshhold in a single round, switch to plurality voting. Restore the votes and start over. Because of the varying lengths of lists and their disagreeing nature this doesn’t work well past about 15 films or so.
  • Condorcet method. If one film would defeat all other films in one-on-one matchups, that film wins (the “Condorcet winner”). Remove the winner and repeat. There is not always a Condorcet winner – there may be two or more films that beat all other films but tie each other, or Film A may beat Film B, B beats C, but C beats A. There are actually several “Condorcet methods” that treat this problem differently:
    • Copeland’s method. The film that wins more one-on-one fights than any other wins the rank.
    • Switch to one of the other approaches. Possibly apply one of the other approaches to a subset of the whole, which contains only the Condorcet winner if it exists: the Smith Set, which beats all films outside it; one of the Schwartz Sets, which is unbeaten against all films outside it; or the Landau Set, consisting of all films for which, for every film that beats it, it beats another film that beats the film that beat it. (For example, and not reflecting reality, if “Citizen Kane” beats “The Godfather” but “The Godfather” beats “Casablanca” which beats “Kane”, then, assuming “Godfather” loses no other battles, it’s in the set.) Instant-runoff applied to the Smith set is common. However, past the top 3 or 6 the Smith set becomes huge.
    • Kennedy-Young/VoteFair method. This approach actually boasts that it is designed to produce a ranked list – it is not iterative! For every possible sequence, add one point for the number of lists that agree with each one-on-one ranking that agrees with that sequence. In other words, if the ranking under consideration ranks “Citizen Kane” #1, “Casablanca” #2, “The Godfather” #3, and “Star Wars” #4, then the number of lists that favor “Kane” over “Casablanca” is added to the number that favors “Kane” over “Godfather”, “Kane” over “Star Wars”, “Casablanca” over “Godfather”, “Casablanca” over “Star Wars”, and “Godfather” over “Star Wars”. The ranking with the highest score is the final list of Greatest Movies. The problem? If there were exactly 100 movies under consideration (there are more than that), then there are 100! = 9.3326215×10^157 (that’s more than half a googol of googols!) possible sequences. (That’s 100 factorial for you non-math geeks.) I have to rely on shortcuts (like considering the Smith Set or the set combining the top line with all films that beat films on the top line on at least one list) to narrow down which sequence to choose. Fortunately, it produces results similar if not equal to ranked pairs in practice.
    • Minimax. Basically, the film for which the film that scores the most victories over it is still fewer victories than the equivalent film for all other films wins. If “Citizen Kane”‘s worst defeat involved losing to another film on 6 lists, and all other films lost to at least one other film more than that, “Kane” wins.
    • Ranked pairs. Take every possible comparison of two films. The largest margin of victory (or the largest number of lists that agree) is locked in. Any defeat that contradicts the defeats already locked in is ignored. In other words, for an A>B>C>A situation, the defeat with the smallest margin of victory is ignored. Also results in a massive comparison; if exactly 100 films are involved. 100 x 99 = 9900 possible matchups must be considered. Since there are more films than that, the number goes up parabolically.
    • Schulze method. Take the Schwartz set. Drop the tightest race. Determine the new Schwartz set. Repeat until a Condorcet winner appears or all the members of the Schwartz set account for no defeats even amongst themselves.
  • Single transferable vote, iterative version: If one film has the majority, that film wins. Only votes over the majority are transferred to other films, in proportion to what films were on the next line. If no film has the majority, eliminate the films with the fewest votes and move up new films until a majority exists. There is a non-iterative version that doesn’t do any ranking unless you’re lucky, but there are so few lists and so many spots to fill that it won’t work.

Precisely when I’ll start putting the list up is partly dependent on when the web site goes up, what suggestions you might have, and what pace I can write the entries at. Since I’ve seen maybe four of the movies that will be listed, if I’m lucky, I invite anyone knowledgable to guest-write an entry or two; to apply, make a comment to this post (make sure you let me know your e-mail address) or e-mail me by clicking on the Complete Profile link on the right side.

Will this post mark the start of a revolution? Maybe, but probably not. However, it will be a lot of fun, and hopefully produce some new perspective on an old, recurring topic.

Post-Summer School Web Site Update

Remember when I said I would have a web site up by July 15? Yeah, about that…

Since I noted that ZendURL was getting negative reviews, many of the problems have been fixed and the control panel has undergone an overhaul. Free-webhosts picked up two reviews while ZendURL was taking no visitors, only one of which – a positive one – is useful.

The result: I’m starting to take ZendURL a bit more seriously again, but since registration came back online there have been no reviews on free-webhosts, and until there are I would be going in blind.

So I will be waiting a bit longer, probably a week or so, before setting up a web site. At that point I will probably “test the waters” with ZendURL for a period and get out if I don’t like it. That’s if ZendURL doesn’t get a spate of negative reviews in the meantime.

Both polls are still ongoing in the meantime, and will terminate whenever a web site gets established.

NBC Extends Wimbledon Contract

NBC has signed a “long term extention” with the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club for coverage of the Championships, Wimbledon.

More is hopefully forthcoming, as linked article does not provide exact duration.

UPDATE: The “long term deal” is for only four years. ESPN is also close to a deal that could include the Tennis Channel, according to sources.

New Counter, New Poll

Da Counter has officially switched to SiteMeter. Also, I’ve removed the “greatest lists” from the inclusion poll.

The web site will launch with a poll, which I’m working on right now, asking you to choose your topics of choice. The list right now is very general and still is huge. Here’s the current list of topics, and I encourage you to help make it more specific by commenting on this post:

World events
Sports (any)
TV Stations
TV Shows
Board Games
Card Games
Video Games
Comic Books
Personal Health
Health Science
General News
Study of people and society (psychology/sociology)
Urban studies
Space Travel
World Flight
Mass Transit