As usual, people are quick to overreact to a single loss. #2 Boise State’s loss to #16 Nevada was an OT loss on the road to a good team, so they don’t slip much. Enough to fall back behind #1 TCU, but not any further.
It did, however, greatly clear up the national championship picture. TCU is now the only potential interlocutor or fly in the ointment for a #3 Oregon-#7 Auburn national championship game. Funnily, Auburn may have a greater chance of being left out of the National Championship Game if they lose in the SEC Title Game than if they had lost in the Iron Bowl, and not because of the opponent or the time in and of itself, but because the polls would balk at sending Auburn to the National Title Game without winning their conference. 2005, anyone? If Auburn does go to the national championship game without winning their conference, it will be one more point of the non-BCS conferences against the BCS… but TCU will probably be told, “Take your whining and stick it in your bag and carry it with you to the Big East.”
Me, I’m just rooting for Auburn to lose and TCU to make the National Title Game just so #5 Stanford can go to the Rose Bowl…
Other notes on this week’s C Ratings:
- This week’s ratings reflect corrections to my database for no fewer than three games I had attributed to the wrong team, affecting, among others, the ratings for #8 Oklahoma, #15 Arkansas, #18 Iowa, and the Big Ten in general. (One of the games was the Iowa State-Oklahoma game being recorded as an Iowa-Oklahoma game.) This will be the last post in this format; next week’s ratings will be published alongside my annual “Who SHOULD Go To Which Bowls?” post.
- #6 Wisconsin is really determined to prove they deserve to win the Big Ten. They’re now ahead of Auburn and only two spots behind #4 Ohio State. Meanwhile, Ohio State is now up to fifth in the BCS with Boise’s loss, and could well go to a BCS bowl, if not the Rose.
- #13 South Carolina missed tying the Big 12 Title Game for Game of the Week by .145 in the C Ratings behind #12 Missouri. Underrated (or properly rated but ignored) teams to look for in the non-BCS bowls: a possible #14 Alabama-Iowa or Michigan State Capitol One Bowl matchup, plus #11 Oklahoma State, Missouri, South Carolina, Arkansas, #23 Texas A&M. #18 LSU is barely worth mentioning.
- Iowa now outranks #22 Michigan State. That game held very much true to form in retrospect.
- Suddenly Louisville isn’t far behind Pitt in the rankings. #19 West Virginia may have one of the highest ratings for a Big East team this season, but they need help to get the Big East BCS bid. But that help is a very real possibility. USF is ahead of Connecticut in the C Ratings.
- In the past there have been problems with the ACC having so much parity that teams out of the title game hunt have been leading the conference while the teams in the title game struggle to make the Top 25. Not this year. The conference’s two best teams will play in the title game. In fact, every BCS conference title game pits the two best teams in their respective conferences regardless of division.
- Northern Illinois has been a MAC mainstay in the Other Positive B Points in past years, to the point where I wondered if something about their schedule or style of play guaranteed them positive B Points late in the year regardless of how well they were actually doing. Well, this year they could win the conference title.
Best game of week: #8 Oklahoma v. #10 Nebraska in Arlington, 8pm ET, ABC
Complete C Ratings