2011 College Football Rankings – Week 11

All season I’ve been saying the same thing: that no one, not even the pollsters, really believes that Oklahoma State is the best non-SEC team in the country. There are a number of reasons for that – namely, a weak nonconference slate and Texas being the only team in positive B Points they beat by more than a single score – but really, what it ultimately comes down to is that it’s Oklahoma State. This is a team that has definitively been “little brother” for the longest time, maybe since Barry Sanders was at the school. Over the last decade, while Bob Stoops’ Oklahoma was contending for national and Big 12 titles, Oklahoma State, while often being good, plied its trade deep in the shadows of the Sooners. Now it’s Oklahoma State who’s contending for a national title? You’ll have to excuse me – and, I suspect, many others – for being a bit skeptical.

Well, not anymore. By blowing out the team that beat Oklahoma (admittedly, that hasn’t looked like they can beat anyone else) by a downright apocalyptic score (66-6), Oklahoma State has established their dominance, and with upsets to the Cardinal and Broncos, now stand as one of only three undefeated teams in the country, enough to propel them past idle Big Brother to the top spot in the C Ratings. As much as the Cowboys look like last year’s Oregon team (essentially, a sacrificial lamb for the SEC team du jour to beat), the argument over whether they should go to the national championship game is pretty much academic at this point.

How the C Ratings are tabulated: First, A Ratings are tabulated by multiplying the total score ratio, which is expressed by (points-opponents’ points)/points, by the winning percentage. Score ratio minimizes the effect of running up the score. Next, B Points for each game are tabulated by (margin of victory)/(opponent’s A rating)+/-1 for wins, and -(margin of loss)/(1-opponent’s A Rating)+/-1 for losses. The “+/-” is + for road games and – for home ones. The total number of B Points is multiplied by the A Rating to get the B Rating. Finally, the C Rating is tabulated by taking one-tenth the difference between the team’s B Rating and the average of his opponents’ B Ratings and taking the result off the B Rating. The three ratings go A, B, C across. Click here to see the complete ratings.

1 Oklahoma State B12 #1 BCS Title
10-0 LW: #5 A Rat: .728 B Rating: 49.978 C Rating: 42.806 AP: 2 BCS: 2
How many people watched the potential national championship contender Friday night in their tuneup for Bedlam?
2 Oklahoma B12 #2 2010 TCU
8-1 LW: #1 A Rat: .674 B Rating: 49.507 C Rating: 42.541 AP: 5 BCS: 5
Idle hands sends the Sooners tumbling from the top spot, but not to who you’d think. And they have to face a Baylor team out to prove they deserve their ranking in the polls.
3 LSU SEC #1 ’06 Boise St.
10-0 LW: #2 A Rat: .821 B Rating: 47.947 C Rating: 42.286 AP: 1 BCS: 1
Playing Western Kentucky, the Tigers might as well have taken the week off, and Ole Miss won’t be much better preparation for the clash with the Hogs.
4 Alabama SEC #2 BCS Title
9-1 LW: #3 A Rat: .775 B Rating: 48.648 C Rating: 42.193 AP: 3 BCS: 3
As far as the polls and BCS are concerned, Alabama is in prime position to take advantage of a Cowboy stumble… but do we really want THAT rematch in the national title game?
5 Oregon P12 #1 ’09 Boise St.
9-1 LW: #7 A Rat: .672 B Rating: 39.919 C Rating: 34.071 AP: 4 BCS: 4
The Ducks have lost only one game all year… and it was against a little team I like to call LSU. Now the polls and BCS are recognizing them as the national-championship-caliber team they are.
6 Boise State MWC #1 MWC Title
8-1 LW: #4 A Rat: .676 B Rating: 34.219 C Rating: 28.631 AP: 10 BCS: 10
All of a sudden, the Broncos are hoping for a TCU loss just to go to the Las Vegas Bowl.
7 Wisconsin B10 #1 Big 10 Title
8-2 LW: #8 A Rat: .641 B Rating: 28.938 C Rating: 22.315 AP: 15 BCS: 17
Their two losses came on the road to decent teams by tight margins, but as far as the polls are concerend, two losses are two losses. But now the Badgers control their own destiny for the conference title game.
8 Stanford P12 #2 BCS Title
9-1 LW: #6 A Rat: .692 B Rating: 22.831 C Rating: 16.952 AP: 8 BCS: 9
Suddenly the Cardinal won’t even make the conference championship, and only the grace of the BCS would put them in one of those games. And rival Cal is feisty.
9 Houston USA #1 BCS Bowl
10-0 LW: #9 A Rat: .768 B Rating: 24.283 C Rating: 15.538 AP: 11 BCS: 11
Houston just continues to impress, and now Gameday is coming to town – for a game that’s arguably the least challenging of the remaining games.
10 Michigan B10 #2 Big 10 Title
8-2 LW: #12 A Rat: .569 B Rating: 16.826 C Rating: 13.437 AP: 20 BCS: 18
Big win over a good Illinois team sends the Wolverines cruising up the rankings. But Nebraska is coming to Ann Arbor, and they will not be easy.
11 Southern Miss USA #2 C-USA Title
9-1 LW: #10 A Rat: .622 B Rating: 14.578 C Rating: 10.209 AP: 22 BCS: 20
Is Southern Miss cracking under the pressure? They let Central Florida get within one at home, and they’ll fall next week after losing to UAB.
12 Notre Dame   Bowl Position
7-3 LW: #13 A Rat: .449 B Rating: 11.179 C Rating: 8.491 AP: 24 Coaches: 25
Pollsters are taking note of the Golden Domers again. Another weak ACC foe will serve as tune-up for a huge clash with Stanford.
13 Virginia Tech ACC #1 Prncton/Yale
9-1 LW: #14 A Rat: .607 B Rating: 11.816 C Rating: 8.373 AP: 9 BCS: 8
To look at the pollsters, you’d think V-Tech was a national title contender; honestly, no one thinks that. But they’re one Cavalier loss away, even at their own hands, from the ACC title game.
14 Georgia SEC #3 SEC Title
8-2 LW: #19 A Rat: .558 B Rating: 11.229 C Rating: 8.366 AP: 13 BCS: 14
The Tigers were ranked in the polls, but they looked like complete scrubs against Georgia, who have been justifying their own ranking of late. Now to beat Kentucky to lock up a trip to the SEC title game.
15 Clemson ACC #2 ACC Title
9-1 LW: #11 A Rat: .584 B Rating: 11.883 C Rating: 8.241 AP: 7 BCS: 7
Clemson was so unimpressive in edging Wake and locking up their ACC title game spot that, combined with how their past opponents did, they might as well not have played, or even lost. Will they be ready for the rival Cocks in two weeks?
16 TCU MWC #2 MWC Title
8-2 LW: #18 A Rat: .554 B Rating: 12.695 C Rating: 8.072 AP: 19 BCS: 19
Lucky or not, TCU impressed the nation with their win over Boise and could be leaving the conference with a bang.
17 Arkansas SEC #3 SEC Title
9-1 LW: #21 A Rat: .614 B Rating: 11.888 C Rating: 7.312 AP: 6 BCS: 6
Arkansas’ defense gave them an even bigger blowout win over Tennessee, this one big enough to actually help them in the C Ratings. They need to repeat the feat against Mississippi State to prepare for LSU.
18 Nebraska B10 #3 Big 10 Title
8-2 LW: #20 A Rat: .527 B Rating: 8.382 C Rating: 5.837 AP: 17 BCS: 16
It wasn’t pretty, but the Huskers did take advantage of reeling Penn State, and while beating the Wolverines won’t be easy, if they do so they’ll be in prime position to take advantage of a Spartan stumble.
19 South Carolina SEC #4 SEC Title
8-2 LW: #16 A Rat: .520 B Rating: 7.007 C Rating: 4.435 AP: 14 BCS: 12
A narrow victory over a Florida team not up to their usual standards won’t cut it. They’ll drop further next week after playing the FCS Citadel.
20 USC P12 #3 Probation
8-2 LW: #26 A Rat: .521 B Rating: 7.741 C Rating: 4.379 AP: 18 SBNBlog: 18
While the rest of the South embarass themselves, USC’s blowout of Washington propel them back onto the Top 25. But Oregon will not be easy.
21 Texas A&M B12 #3 Bowl Elgblty
5-5 LW: #15 A Rat: .302 B Rating: 5.827 C Rating: 4.192
All but one of A&M’s losses came to teams ranked in the polls at the time, all but one came to teams ranked in the C Ratings now, all but one was within a score… but losses are losses, and they’re nowhere near the polls and not yet bowl-eligible.
22 Florida State ACC #3 Bowl Position
7-3 LW: #22 A Rat: .501 B Rating: 6.729 C Rating: 3.832 AP: 23 BCS: 25
Pedestrian four-point win over Miami (FL), and now Clemson will keep them out of the conference title game. On the plus side, they’re getting poll respect and can play spoiler in the Coastal against Virginia.
23 Penn State B10 #3 Big 10 Title
8-2 LW: #17 A Rat: .525 B Rating: 5.467 C Rating: 3.636 AP: 21 BCS: 21
Pollsters may be penalizing the Nittany Lions for off-field discretions, but that doesn’t explain why the C Ratings drop Penn State so far for a tight loss against a good Nebraska team. Ohio State smells blood.
24 Toledo MAC #1 MAC Title
6-4 LW: #23 A Rat: .355 B Rating: 4.490 C Rating: 2.452
Allowing over 60 points is never good for score ratio, and keeping the margin of victory tight isn’t good either, but Toledo did better than that against Central Michigan.
25 Missouri* B12 #4 Bowl Elgblty
5-5 LW: #31 A Rat: .298 B Rating: .617 C Rating: .708
Big win over Texas propels the Tigers into positive B Points and has them replacing the Longhorns on the Top 25 – even if as just the best of a bad lot.

25 teams total with positive C Rating (none with negative B Rating)

Off Top 25: #27 Arizona State (was #24), #31 Texas (was #25)

Watch List: #26 Rutgers, #27 Arizona State, #28 Miami (FL), #29 Michigan State*

Other Positive B Ratings: #33 Tulsa*, #36 Ohio, #39 Northern Illinois* (*=Newly Positive)

No Longer Positive: #31 Texas, #32 Georgia Tech, #37 Cincinnati, #41 Iowa

Bottom 10: #111 Kansas, #112 Buffalo, #113 UNLV, #114 Colorado, #115 UAB, #116 Florida Atlantic, #117 Akron, #118 Tulane, #119 Memphis, #120 New Mexico

Best game of week: USC @ Oregon, 5pm PT, ABC

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