Sports Ratings Report for Week of June 3-9

Sports Ratings Highlights for Week of June 3-9: Belmont Stakes Edition

Game 1 of the Women’s College World Series finals attracted a substantially larger audience than the MLB game airing on regular ESPN at the time (736k). Does this say more about the matchup (for either game), the fact the WCWS game went into extra innings scoreless, or will ESPN consider switching the two in future years? Or does the WCWS just skew so old that even MLB skews young by comparison?

Numbers compiled from a variety of sources, including TV by the Numbers, The Futon Critic, Sports Media Watch, and Son of the Bronx.

Vwr (mil)

HH

18-49

Net

NBA Finals: Spurs @ Heat, Game 2

14.57

5.8

ABC

NBA Finals: Spurs @ Heat, Game 1

14.24

5.7

ABC

NBA Eastern Conference Finals:
Pacers @ Heat, Game 7

11.565

5.1

TNT

Belmont Stakes
(no Triple Crown at stake)

7

4.5

NBC

NASCAR: Party in the Poconos 400

4.358

2.8

1.0

TNT

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Finals:
Kings @ Blackhawks, Game 5

3.813

2.2

NBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Finals:
Penguins @ Bruins, Game 4

2.9

1.6

1.1

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Finals:
Penguins @ Bruins, Game 3

2.844

1.6

1.2

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Finals:
Bruins @ Penguins, Game 2

2.601

1.5

1.1

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Finals:
Blackhawks @ Kings, Game 4

2.024

1.2

0.8

NBCSN

French Open, Men’s Final:
Nadal v. Ferrer

2

1.4

NBC

French Open, Women’s Final:
S. Williams v. Sharapova

1.9

1.4

NBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Finals:
Blackhawks @ Kings, Game 3

1.813

1.1

0.7

NBCSN

Women’s College World Series:
Oklahoma v. Tennessee, Game 2

1.315

0.9

ESPN

Women’s College World Series:
Tennessee v. Oklahoma, Game 1

1.238

0.8

ESPN2

NASCAR Nationwide Series
(airing against Sprint Cup)

0.417

0.3

ESPN2

MLB First-Year Player Draft

0.277

0.2

MLBN

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Sports Ratings Report for Week of May 27-June 2

Sports Ratings Highlights for Week of May 27-June 2: Red Sox/Yankees Edition

Numbers for Fox’s Red Sox-Yankees game estimated based on Sports Media Watch’s description, even though I now have evidence Paulsen’s definition of “just under” is broader than what I’ve been indicating. See the Top 20 table below.

Numbers compiled from a variety of sources, including TV by the Numbers, The Futon Critic, Sports Media Watch, and Son of the Bronx.

Vwr (mil)

HH

18-49

Net

NBA Eastern Conference Finals:
Pacers @ Heat, Game 5

8.54

5.4

3.7

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Finals:
Heat @ Pacers, Game 6

8.236

3.3

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Finals:
Heat @ Pacers, Game 4

8.122

3.5

TNT

NASCAR: FedEx 400

5.973

3.8

FOX

NBA Western Conference Finals:
Spurs @ Grizzlies, Game 4

5.21

3.2

2.1

ESPN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Finals:
Bruins @ Penguins, Game 1

3.376

2.0

NBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Red Wings @ Blackhawks, Game 7

3.354

2.1

1.4

NBCSN

Baseball Night in America
(main game: Red Sox @ Yankees)

3.29

2.2

FOX

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Blackhawks @ Red Wings, Game 6

2.723

1.6

1.1

NBCSN

Sunday Night Baseball:
Red Sox @ Yankees

2.335

1.6

0.7

ESPN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Finals:
Kings @ Blackhawks, Game 2

2.019

1.2

0.7

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Finals:
Kings @ Blackhawks, Game 1

1.624

1.0

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Sharks @ Kings, Game 7

1.372

0.8

0.6

NBCSN

Women’s College World Series
(most-watched weekend game)

1.242

0.8

0.3

ESPN

Scripps National Spelling Bee

0.797

0.5

ESPN

NCAA Men’s Lacrosse Championship

0.734

0.4

ESPN+
ESPNU

WNBA: Sky @ Mercury

0.455

0.3

ESPN2

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Sports Ratings Report for Week of May 20-26

Sports Ratings Highlights for Week of May 20-26: Indianapolis 500 Edition

Numbers for the Indy 500 are currently based on fast-national data; I doubt there was much if any change from the fast-national to the final rating, but be ready for the final numbers to be different in a month.

Numbers compiled from a variety of sources, including TV by the Numbers, The Futon Critic, Sports Media Watch, and Son of the Bronx.

Vwr (mil)

HH

18-49

Net

NBA Eastern Conference Finals:
Pacers @ Heat, Game 1

8.245

3.6

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Finals:
Heat @ Pacers, Game 3

7.279

3.1

TNT

NASCAR: Coca-Cola 600

7.13

1.9

FOX

NBA Eastern Conference Finals:
Pacers @ Heat, Game 2

6.975

3.0

TNT

Indianapolis 500*

5.7

3.7

ABC

NBA Western Conference Finals:
Spurs @ Grizzlies, Game 3

4.941

3.1

1.9

ESPN

NBA Western Conference Finals:
Grizzlies @ Spurs, Game 2

4.62

3.1

1.9

ESPN

NBA Draft Lottery

2.895

1.9

1.2

ESPN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Red Wings @ Blackhawks, Game 5

2.852

1.6

NBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Rangers @ Bruins, Game 5

1.868

1.0

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Blackhawks @ Red Wings, Game 4

1.756

1.1

0.7

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Bruins @ Rangers, Game 3

1.752

1.1

0.8

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Blackhawks @ Red Wings, Game 3

1.631

1.0

0.7

NBCSN

Formula One: Monaco Grand Prix

1.456

1.0

NBC

UEFA Champions League Final:
Bayern Munich v. Borussia Dortmund

1.4

0.9

FOX

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Bruins @ Rangers, Game 4

1.365

0.7

0.6

CNBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Senators @ Penguins, Game 5

1.307

0.7

0.5

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Penguins @ Senators, Game 4

1.228

0.7

0.5

NBCSN

Read more

Sports Ratings Report for Week of May 13-19

Sports Ratings Highlights for Week of May 13-19: Preakness Stakes Edition

Numbers compiled from a variety of sources, including TV by the Numbers, The Futon Critic, Sports Media Watch, and Son of the Bronx.

Vwr (mil)

HH

18-49

Net

Preakness Stakes

9.7

5.9

NBC

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Bulls @ Heat, Game 5

5.474

3.6

2.3

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Warriors @ Spurs, Game 5

5.339

3.5

2.4

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Grizzlies @ Thunder, Game 5

5.269

3.6

2.4

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Thunder @ Grizzlies, Game 4

5.041

3.4

2.2

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Knicks @ Pacers, Game 6

4.948

3.0

2.0

ESPN

NBA Western Conference Finals:
Grizzlies @ Spurs, Game 1

4.9

3.1

ABC

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Heat @ Bulls, Game 4

4.873

3.2

2.1

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Pacers @ Knicks, Game 5

4.59

3.1

1.9

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Knicks @ Pacers, Game 4

4.05

2.8

1.7

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Spurs @ Warriors, Game 6

3.788

2.6

1.7

ESPN

NASCAR Sprint All-Star Race

3.679

2.3

SPEED

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Rangers @ Bruins, Game 2

2.4

1.4

NBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Red Wings @ Blackhawks, Game 2

1.7

1.1

NBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Rangers @ Bruins, Game 1

1.635

1.0

0.8

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Red Wings @ Blackhawks, Game 1

1.447

0.9

0.7

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:

Penguins @ Senators, Game 3

1.401

0.8

0.6

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Senators @ Penguins, Game 1

1.076

0.7

0.4

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, East Semifinals:
Senators @ Penguins, Game 2

1

0.6

0.4

NBCSN

Stanley Cup Playoffs, West Semifinals:
Sharks @ Kings, Game 2

0.805

0.5

0.4

NBCSN

Read more

Sports Ratings Report for Week of May 6-12

Sports Ratings Highlights for Week of May 6-12: THE PLAYERS Championship Edition

Numbers compiled from a variety of sources, including TV by the Numbers, The Futon Critic, Sports Media Watch, and Son of the Bronx.

Vwr (mil)

HH

18-49

Net

THE PLAYERS Championship:
Final Round

7.6

5.0

NBC

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Heat @ Bulls, Game 3

6.615

4.2

2.8

ESPN

NASCAR: Southern 500

5.9

3.8

FOX

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Knicks @ Pacers, Game 3

5.3

3.5

ABC

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Spurs @ Warriors, Game 4

5.3

3.4

ABC

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Bulls @ Heat, Game 1

5.537

2.4

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Warriors @ Spurs, Game 1

5.457

2.5

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Spurs @ Warriors, Game 3

5.437

3.6

2.4

ESPN

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Warriors @ Spurs, Game 2

5.314

2.4

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Bulls @ Heat, Game 2

5.286

2.3

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Grizzlies @ Thunder, Game 2

4.752

2.1

TNT

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Pacers @ Knicks, Game 2

3.743

1.6

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Thunder @ Grizzlies, Game 3

3.373

2.3

ESPN

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Sports Ratings Report for Week of April 29-May 5

Sports Ratings Highlights for Week of April 29-May 5: Kentucky Derby Edition

Leaving out the “time” column for this one, because I don’t know the exact time that’s considered the “race portion” of the Kentucky Derby. The 5.99 million viewers for Pacers/Knicks is an estimate based on Sports Media Watch’s description. All the NHL games on cable had fewer viewers than Pacers-Hawks Game 6.

Numbers compiled from a variety of sources, including TV by the Numbers, The Futon Critic, Sports Media Watch, and Son of the Bronx.

Vwr (mil)

HH

18-49

Net

Kentucky Derby

16.2

9.7

NBC

NASCAR: Aaron’s 499

7.3

4.6

FOX

NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals:
Pacers @ Knicks, Game 1

5.99

3.9

ABC

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Rockets @ Thunder, Game 5

4.498

2.1

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Bulls @ Nets, Game 7

4.436

1.8

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Nuggets @ Warriors, Game 6

4.361

2.0

TNT

NBA Western Conference Semifinals:
Grizzlies @ Thunder, Game 1

4.3

3.0

ABC

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Nets @ Bulls, Game 6

4.12

1.7

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Thunder @ Rockets, Game 6

4.035

2.6

1.8

ESPN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Thunder @ Rockets, Game 4

3.802

1.8

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Knicks @ Celtics, Game 6

3.549

2.3

1.5

ESPN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Celtics @ Knicks, Game 5

3.462

1.5

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Grizzlies @ Clippers, Game 5

3.149

1.4

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Warriors @ Nuggets, Game 5

2.964

1.2

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Bulls @ Nets, Game 5

2.63

1.1

TNT

Stanley Cup Playoffs, First Round:
Blackhawks @ Wild, Game 3

1.8

1.2

NBC

Stanley Cup Playoffs, First Round:
Penguins @ Islanders, Game 3

1.7

1.1

NBC

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Clippers @ Grizzlies, Game 6

1.55

1.0

0.7

ESPN2

Stanley Cup Playoffs, First Round:
Rangers @ Capitals, Game 2

1.2

0.9

NBC

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Pacers @ Hawks, Game 6

0.644

0.4

0.2

ESPN2

Read more

Sports Ratings Report for Week of April 22-28

Sports Ratings Highlights for Week of April 22-28: NFL Draft Edition

More evidence of the dominance of the NFL: the first round of the NFL Draft was seen by 7.7 million people across ESPN and NFL Network and drew a 3.6 18-49 rating. Only one show on broadcast drew more 18-49 viewers on Thursday: The Big Bang Theory. It did better than the Syracuse/Marquette Elite Eight game, all but one Sweet 16 game, and all but two or three games from the NCAA Tournament’s first weekend, and the only better audiences ESPN has attracted for event programming so far this calendar year have been for college bowl games. The NFL Draft, which once puzzled Pete Roselle why ESPN would even want to televise it, wouldn’t be out of place on a broadcast network. Even Friday’s second-round coverage attracted more viewers than all but one game of the NBA Playoffs on cable for the week, and its 1.6 18-49 rating beat all but two shows on broadcast – though it may have been boosted by the likes of Geno Smith, Manti Te’o, and Matt Barkley still being on the board. And late-round coverage on Saturday did better than an NBA Playoff game later in the night, and they couldn’t all be watching to see the first two days rehashed ad nauseam. (Note: For Friday and Saturday, I took a weighted average of coverage on ESPN and ESPN2 before adding the NFLN numbers.)

Numbers compiled from a variety of sources, including TV by the Numbers, The Futon Critic, Sports Media Watch, and Son of the Bronx.

Vwr (mil)

HH

18-49

Time

Net

NFL Draft: Round 1 (combined)

7.721

5.0

3.6

4/25 8:00 PM

ESPN+
NFLN

NASCAR: Toyota Owners 400

6.1

3.7

4/27 7:30 PM

FOX

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Heat @ Bucks, Game 4

6

3.8

4/28 3:30 PM

ABC

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Knicks @ Celtics, Game 4

4.9

3.3

4/28 1:00 PM

ABC

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Lakers @ Spurs, Game 2

4.32

2.0

4/24 9:52 PM

TNT

NFL Draft: Rounds 2-3 (combined)

3.7

2.6

1.6

4/26 6:30 PM

ESPN/2
+NFLN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Spurs @ Lakers, Game 4

3.513

1.5

4/28 7:09 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Celtics @ Knicks, Game 2

3.377

1.4

4/23 8:09 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Thunder @ Rockets, Game 3

3.257

2.1

1.4

4/27 9:49 PM

ESPN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Nuggets @ Warriors, Game 4

3.196

1.4

4/28 9:35 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Grizzlies @ Clippers, Game 2

3.102

1.5

4/22 10:46 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Rockets @ Thunder, Game 2

3.055

1.3

4/24 7:09 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Bulls @ Nets, Game 2

2.988

1.3

4/22 8:09 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Knicks @ Celtics, Game 3

2.891

1.9

1.3

4/26 8:00 PM

ESPN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Spurs @ Lakers, Game 3

2.881

2.0

1.3

4/26 10:40 PM

ESPN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Warriors @ Nuggets, Game 2

2.869

1.4

4/23 10:46 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Clippers @ Grizzlies, Game 3

2.574

1.2

4/25 9:46 PM

TNT

NFL Draft: Rounds 4-7 (combined)

2.221

1.5

4/27 12:00 PM

ESPN/2
+NFLN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Heat @ Bucks, Game 3

2.127

0.8

4/25 7:09 PM

TNT

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Pacers @ Hawks, Game 3

1.966

1.3

0.8

4/27 6:59 PM

ESPN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Nuggets @ Warriors, Game 3

1.392

1.0

1.3

4/26 10:30 PM

ESPN2

UFC 159 Prelims

1.382

0.8

4/27 8:00 PM

FX

30 for 30: Elway to Marino

1.059

0.7

0.6

4/23 8:00 PM

ESPN

NBA Playoffs, First Round:
Bucks @ Heat, Game 2

0.764

0.5

4/23 7:30 PM

NBATV

Click More for the top 20 most viewed events for the last week of March, plus the top 25 most viewed events for the first quarter of the year.

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State of the Sports TV Ratings Landscape

I didn’t realize until recently that Son of the Bronx has been putting up ratings for every single program on ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, NBCSN, Golf Channel, and the networks for the three undisputed major sports. Here’s hoping he’ll have Fox Sports 1 numbers by the time that network re-launches in August, because if so it’ll become possible (even if only after the fact) to run a sports version of the daily scoreboards here.

Of course, when I tried to do my own version the time required to create it quickly spun out of hand. Still, let’s see what we can learn from the ratings for a sample week, April 15-21 (admittedly, possibly a bad week due to the Boston Marathon bombings screwing up the schedule on Monday and the X Games on Friday, and because I just skimmed the tables a lot of this analysis is pretty haphazard). Here are the ratings for the ESPNs, and here are the others:

  • About six months ago, Awful Announcing ran a post warning of the challenge viewer “gravitation” to ESPN posed for any potential competitor, and while I was skeptical at the time (since the occasion was people failing to find the baseball playoffs on TBS, which had more to do with no one knowing their shitty Sunday afternoon package even exists), it’s hard to dispute after looking at the numbers. During college basketball season, it’s rare for even a single game on ESPN2 to beat a single game, certainly two, on ESPN; it seems like anything that gets put on ESPN gets good ratings by default. Indeed, in general the highest rated programs on ESPN2 get beat by all but the lowest-rated programs on ESPN; even a late-night re-air of an NBA game beat every single non-NHRA program on ESPN2, and it was the lowest-rated re-air of any kind I could find. And ESPN2’s distribution is actually only marginally worse than regular ESPN, and it typically beats all of the others fairly handily on its own.
  • As such, I think a lot of the hand-wringing over First Take is overblown. Yes, it’s ESPN2’s highest-rated studio show, and yes, there have been times when it’s beaten SportsCenter on ESPN (including Tuesday of this week)… but SportsCenter ratings seem to drop substantially when it goes from re-airs of the previous day’s show to new live editions, which makes me wonder if that has anything to do with the alleged “First Take-ization” of SportsCenter. Moreover, at least when I looked during college basketball season, the entire ESPN2 schedule seemed to undergo wild fluctuations where the order of shows remained the same from day-to-day but their exact numbers varied wildly. When they had the half-hour edition of First Take later in the day on regular ESPN, it was quite possibly the lowest point on the entire ESPN schedule, maybe even dragging down Outside the Lines with it. Maybe First Take is popular because it’s just different from the standard-issue SportsCenter on at the same time and it’s on later than Mike and Mike so more people are up for it.
  • DLHQ is quite possibly doing worse than any other ESPN2 studio show, while Numbers Never Lie did better than Mike and Mike at one point in the week. That’s just depressing. Most of what ESPN2 puts on at 3 ET does better than DLHQ at 3:30, as does SportsNation after, so I have a feeling Dan LeBatard’s long-term prospects are Highly Questionable.
  • I got the sense that college basketball games on NBCSN, in general, did worse than ESPNU games, though that might have something to do with the lack of major conferences on the former, but that once the NHL started NBCSN does better top to bottom than ESPNU, with hockey usually but not always beating basketball. Generally, the Dan Patrick Show beats the Herd, but DP seems to be more volatile, and some episodes of the Box Score actually beat the actual radio shows airing before them. Outdoor programs continue to be the elephant in the living room for NBCSN; it’s hard to justify weekend editions of the Lights given the numbers, and sometimes it doesn’t even beat the infomercials running immediately before, though 6 AM seems to be more popular than later hours. During college basketball season it seemed like 8 AM was substantially more popular than earlier hours, which may be a combination of Dan Patrick and West Coast viewers tuning in at a time that actually remotely works for them; if the latter, that may be an argument in favor of extending the show backwards to 3 AM, midnight on the West Coast.
  • Even by ESPNU standards, UNITE was doing so horribly during college basketball season that ratings not only dropped substantially when it came on, they rebounded when a game re-air came on immediately afterwards, like people were avoiding it like the plague. Now at least some episodes seem to be doing on par with the Herd, and early-morning re-airs (especially those leading in to the Herd) aren’t beating the original midnight airing.
  • All of MLBN’s games fell between NBATV’s two Monday games. Most of MLBN’s daytime studio shows seem to be doing better than anything on NBCSN or ESPNU, but even in the midst of the offseason NFLN has them both beat. You have to scroll down a pretty good distance to find NFLAM, and it’s still beating almost anything on NBCSN or ESPNU. But Morning Drive on Golf Channel is running pretty close to if not beating NFLAM, and considering the struggles NBCSN has had with any studio programming in prime the success of Golf Channel’s original programming is pretty stunning.

I’m adding a new category, because I might start doing more sports TV ratings posts in the future, given all the information available here and elsewhere.

The 2013 Mid-Major Conference

Refer to this post if you don’t know what this is about or to catch up on the rules.

This year, five conferences produced multiple bids to the NCAA Tournament: the MWC, A-10, West Coast, MVC, and Sun Belt. These conferences are guaranteed one spot each in the Mid-Major Conference.

Three teams reached the Sweet 16, all from different conferences. Florida Gulf Coast did not come from a multi-bid conference, but the other two did. Although Saint Mary’s won their “First Four” game, Gonzaga was the only team to win a game in a full-size round. Colorado State and San Diego State each won their first game and lost their second, and no team from the Sun Belt won a game in the NCAA tournament. Colorado State and San Diego State split their regular season games and each lost in the semifinals of the conference tournament; Middle Tennessee lost in the conference semifinals and had to play in the “First Four”, but swept Western Kentucky in the regular season.

This leaves three spots in the MMC to be determined by my discretion, with one of them coming from the Mountain West.

Without further ado, the eight members of the 2012 Mid-Major Conference:

La Salle (Atlantic 10)
Wichita State (Missouri Valley Conference)
Gonzaga (West Coast Conference)
Middle Tenn. St. (Sun Belt)
Colorado State (Mountain West Conference)
Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun)
Memphis (Conference USA)
Belmont (Ohio Valley Conference)

With Memphis and Belmont being at-large contenders (the decision might have been much harder had Middle Tennessee not made the field as a sort-of questionable at-large), the only real decision I had to make actually involved the first-ever conference-restricted discretionary selection since I started doing this. San Diego State might have been more deserving, but I had to reward Colorado State’s best season in decades, if not ever. Florida Gulf Coast robbed SDSU of their MMC spot on top of getting one of their own; of course, if I had counted the SEC as a mid-major instead of the Mountain West, I wouldn’t have had to make any decision, because Florida would have gotten the automatic spot. Moreover, depending on what the new Big East and “American” conferences look like, this might well be the last year I ever do this, so let’s give a warm round of applause for what may be the last MMC ever.

How Windows 8 Changes Everything, Part IV: The Triumph of Scott McCloud (Or: “Webcomics” Are Dead. Long Live Digital Comics.)

But for all of hypertext’s advantages, the basic ideas behind hypertext and comics are diametrically opposed! Hypertext relies on the principle that nothing exists in space. Everything is either here, not here, or connected to here, while in the temporal map of comics, every element of the work has a spatial relationship to every other element at all times.
-Scott McCloud, Reinventing Comics

In an app-based future, one where social media becomes most people’s gateway to the Internet if not defining it, it’s easy to fear, as John Allison did a few weeks ago, that those who have taken advantage of the openness of the Web may find themselves increasingly abandoned and unable to gain traction. But as I said in Part II and in my response to Allison, the tools of the new Internet paradigm are open to anyone, with nothing stopping it from being as open, if not more so, than the old Web-based paradigm.

Four years ago, I wrote my Webcomics’ Identity Crisis series, the core of which (in Parts III and IV) explored the obstacles to the future of comics Scott McCloud outlined in Reinventing Comics. I felt that the one revolution McCloud advocated – the infinite canvas – was wholly dependent on the other – micropayments – in order to truly catch on, because any other revenue model (where the form the online version took was relevant, that is) depended on the breaking up of the story into parts, defeating much of the point of the infinite canvas and often even rendering it counterproductive. Micropayments, for their part, were doomed to fail, at least as far as webcomics were concerned, because of the psychological barrier against paying anything for anything – perhaps they might have become the norm if they were ready when the Internet started catching on, but so long as enough of the Internet’s content was available for free, it would be extremely difficult to produce something with enough value that, even with all the stuff out there for free, a substantial number of people would be willing to pay even a cent or two for it, especially if it was possible, even easy, for someone to repost it elsewhere for free, especially if they had to buy it sight-unseen from someone whose content they didn’t already know they wanted, and especially if they had to pay for something that had previously been free.

Ironically, one of the more famous proponents of the “psychological barrier” theory for the failure of micropayments was… Chris Anderson, in his book Free: The Future of a Radical Price. Though he never directly mentioned it, perhaps hoping people wouldn’t notice the contradiction and accuse him of holding whatever position attracted the most attention, “The Web is Dead” could be seen as an implicit admission of how wrong he was then. The thesis of “The Web is Dead” was that people would pay for the same content they could get for free, simply because it came in a form worked better and was easier for them. If we are increasingly moving to a future where consumers are increasingly willing to pay to receive content on their smartphones once available on the Internet for free, it may well be only a matter of time before micropayments take hold in this far more fertile soil.

Already most of the apps in the Windows store are available for less than half of the magic $10 price most online retailers need to hit to justify the cost of a single credit card transaction. I’ve long felt that the fees people pay to their Internet service provider for Internet access were low-hanging fruit for micropayments, similar to how charges for pay-per-view content appear on your cable bill, if it weren’t for the numerous ways to access the Internet that other people pay for. The advent of cloud computing and the single login, including devices like those that run Windows 8 that are tightly associated with a single online account, makes it far easier to charge your credit card on the fly without introducing extra steps and at virtually any price. While producers of “fungible” content that can easily be spread elsewhere will probably continue to need to offer their wares for free (or just enough to render piracy inconvenient), we may one day see the day where producers of other types of content, to take just one example, allow anyone to access their content for a small charge, or for free if you buy their app once (and possibly pay a regular subscription fee thereafter).

It’s highly unlikely that a single comic, even a full-size comic book or graphic novel, would justify its own app, but the point is the technology exists to offer it at any price, regardless of the mechanism. We’ve already seen the development of an “iTunes” for comics, in the form of Comixology and its associated formats, and Marvel and DC have already embraced the online, digital distribution of their wares for new mobile devices, with Marvel even going so far as to produce what I call “digital stage comics” for their Avengers v. X-Men event. As Allison’s attitude shows, however, the webcomic community has been surprisingly slow to adapt to this new world order. Many webcomics have developed apps for the distribution of their content, but like webcomics in general, most of them are comic strips easily suited to distribution on a periodical basis (though Least I Could Do offers access to its archives through its app for just 99 cents).

If the web starts to be pushed to the background, you could see webcomics, as we know them today, pushed to the background as well. Even comic-strip-type webcomics may soon find their main means of distribution through “comic page” apps that aggregate them together. (One wonders if this was one of the ideas Scott Kurtz planned to hawk to syndicates with last year’s consulting offer.) But the real impact will be felt in “long-form” comic-book-like webcomics, who could jump at the chance to exploit the exposure advantages of the Internet without any of the drawbacks. It was, after all, the comic book model McCloud had in mind with his advocacy of micropayments and the infinite canvas. While the problem of spending money on unproven content hasn’t gone away entirely, some workarounds have sprung up; recently my dad published a prose novel that he promoted in part by making a short snippet available free for people considering the book on Amazon, a tactic that has apparently helped many novels achieve success through online sales, including some you may have heard of.

Beyond micropayments making the infinite canvas far easier to monetize, the advent of touchscreen-enabled devices eliminates the main interface-based constraint on the infinite canvas as well. Maintaining an “unbroken reading line” would seem to imply the horizontal infinite canvas, where the row of panels scrolls off to infinity to the right, but most applications of the infinite canvas have been of the vertical variety, due to the nature of mouse wheels, the most hassle-free way to scroll on the computer. But the touchscreen does away with the need to scroll entirely; all it takes is a swipe to move to a different part of the canvas, or moving the finger across the screen. It’s even possible to zoom in with the double-tap. This isn’t limited to comics; I really don’t like how the Kindle and other e-readers feel the need to stick to the norms of print by chopping up books into discrete pages. I don’t know this either way, but I hope Comixology’s formats and others allow people to make their “page” whatever size they wish if they so choose; we could see an explosion in long-form stories told in forms unthinkable not too long ago. I can’t help but wonder if, when McCloud semi-unintentionally anticipated the iPad in Reinventing, he was giving a look at the sort of device that he had in mind when talking about the infinite canvas, without explicitly stating so.

Many of the applications of the infinite canvas McCloud proposed will probably always be too gimmicky to catch on, but there’s nothing stopping those applications with real storytelling potential from changing the way you look at comics. It’s possible the digital comic of the future will look a lot like Homestuck – essentially, a variant on the digital stage comic, only told in many thousands of tiny chunks, highlighting another failing of hypertext: the way advertising on the Web rewards breaking stories up into as many tiny units as possible so as to score more pageviews to drive up the price of advertising. With alternate business models, it would no longer be necessary to exploit perverse incentives like this, because the reader could be charged directly in a way that makes sense.

This is only a hint of how the move to an app-based future can be a boon to independent producers of content prepared for it, despite the decline of the open, free-wheeling web they have taken advantage of to this point. We could be on the verge of an explosion in content of all shapes and sizes, a golden age of artists flocking to the most rewarding environment the arts has ever seen, creating content that takes forms never before possible, and potentially achieving the long-deferred vindication of Scott McCloud’s original vision. The rise of devices like the iPad and Surface doesn’t mark the end or a decline of the great revolution impelled by the rise of the Internet over the course of the last decade. Rather, it’s just the beginning.